Phillies Articles
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Written by Mike Mariano
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Wednesday, 28 July 2010 08:21 |
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Domonic Brown may see the show sooner than later for the Phillies and it might not come via a trade of Jayson Werth like so many have expected. With Shane Victorino's injury last night, Domonic Brown might see some time in the show this week. The future will be on display in the present, right in the middle of a Phillies hot streak that has finally given the season some life.
Currently ranked the top prospect in the MLB (by Keith Law), Domonic Brown posses all the tools for stardom in the show. 6'5" 200 lbs, with plus speed and power to come down the road. His work ethic touted as being exceptional and his athleticism has shown to be top of the line despite his massive size. Five-tool potential is brought up whenever you pull his file: Speed, Power, Average, Defense, Throwing - the kid has the ability to do it all.
In 2010, DoBro has displayed it all down in the minors. Spread over AA and AAA, Brown has hit .327 with 20 home runs and 17 stolen bases. He has struck out nearly twice as much as he's walked, however his plate discipline is much improved than at the beginning of his career. The kid is sporting an OPS of .980 which is exceptional.
Not everyone thinks that DoBro should be promoted just yet, because despite his obvious talents he is only 22 years old. Not only that, the Phillies Phaithful aren't exactly the patient type. Around here, we're used to our best players being prospects who came up and saw success nearly right away (Howard, Utley, Hamels, Victorino). Also, the Phillies are going to be in a pennant race, is that really the time for the young guy to take his bumps and bruises in the majors?
If not in 2010, then next season Domonic will almost assuredly be roaming the outfield for the Phillies, but I can't pretend I'm not hoping for a glimpse of him this season. Even if it's only for 15 days while Victorino is on the DL, I want to see the kid in action. I was to see a vision of the Phillies future now.
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Written by Mike Mariano
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Wednesday, 28 July 2010 08:03 |
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3.5 games back and coming in fast. Last night saw another Phillies win and another Braves loss. Chase Utley has been out hurt, Jimmy Rollins is day-to-day hurt, Shane Victorino left the game hurt, none of that mattered last night. Three home runs, one by Ryan Howard, others by Jayson Werth and Cody Ransom, were just a part of the Phillies offensive showing last night.
Cole Hamels started and was just okay, going five innings, eight K's, three runs, but it ended up being enough. David Herndon got the win which was the first of his Major League career. He got it in the classiest way possible for a relief pitcher. Come in and blow the lead, only to have the offense get it back for you in the bottom half of the inning. A truly stolen win, you've to admire his effort.
Talk about production in the middle: Polanco, Ibanez, Howard, and Werth all have two hits on the day. Rodrigo Lopez, the former Phillies, had no answer for the Phillies offense and got battered around in his five innings of work.
Tonight the Phillies have Roy Halladay facing off against the ever-inconsistent Edwin Jackson. You know Roy's going to be strong, but Edwin is a wild card. No-hitter? Maybe. 10 runs in three innings? Maybe. We'll just have to see. Seven in a row is on the line tonight and trades are on the horizon, stay tuned.
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Written by Mike Mariano
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Tuesday, 27 July 2010 11:18 |
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Currently the Phillies are one of many suitors in the Roy Oswalt sweepstakes. Not only would the Phillies have to fight other teams to make the best offer, but there are many reasons why Roy Oswalt wouldn't be a great fit in Philadelphia. For one, he's indicated that he would prefer a smaller, more tame city than say a New York or Philadelphia. Let's just say that the Phillie Phaithful aren't exactly a jolly bunch, we're not afraid to let the boo birds fly and I don't know how that would sit from Oswalt. Secondly, his 2011 option presents a large financial obligation that the Phillies don't appear content to make. Simply adding up the package demanded and the money owed, the price may not be right for Oswalt.
It must also be considered that if the Phillies offense truly is coming back to form, then consistency, not dominance is what the Phillies need from their pitching staff. The price tag for consistency is considerably lower than dominance. However, it remains to be seen what Ruben Amaro will value when if/when he pulls the trigger
With Moyer out, the current staff consists of Halladay, Hamels, Happ, Blanton, Kendrick. Namely, Kendrick should be replaced, but regardless you can never have enough pitching. So if Roy's not the guy (and don't get me wrong I hope that he is), who will/should be donning the red pinstripes for the stretch run and what characteristic they can bring to the table for the Phillies?
Ben Sheets
Dominance. There was a time when Ben Sheets was on track to be one of the best pitchers in baseball with his back-breaking curveball. Fast-forward to 2010 and Sheets has battled through inconsistency and injuries to find himself on a no-win team out in Oakland. However during the wild pennant race of '08, Sheets pitched great before having elbow surgery in '09. Getting trade to a contender could be exactly what Sheets needs to channel his inner dominance. Better yet, the Phillies don't have to depend on him staying healthy for years to come because he's going to be a free agent after the season. Love having guys playing for a contract year. Also the cost of Sheets is at least a tier below that of Lee, Haren, Oswalt -- nearer to the Phillies comfort zone.
Ted Lilly
Consistency. Ted may be 3-8 for the lowly Cubbies, however his 1.12 WHIP is encouraging. Ted is a young man's Jamie Moyer and a two-time all-star (once being last season, no less). He's another with a lower price tag, but no commitments after 2010. Lilly may not go out and match Doc Halladay shut-out for shut-out, but he's going to keep you in the game until the end, which is exactly what an offense like this one in Philadelphia needs.
Fausto Carmona
Potential. After winning 19 games in 2007, Carmona fell off the face of the earth. Him and Sabathia were supposed to make the Indians contenders again, but his sky-rocketing ERA had other plans. In 2010, Carmona has gotten back on the winning track, albeit not the dominant one of old. However a move to the NL and another shot at a pennant race always helps. After this season, Carmona's $6 million price tag is manageable and from there he has three years of club options. The Phillies and Indians have had success doing deals in the past, there's no reason that can't continue with Carmona here.
Shaun Marcum
Controllable. Two seasons removed from Tommy John surgery, the Blue Jays Opening Day starter should be getting better as time progresses. His price tag will be higher compared to some guys, but the ability to control him in '11 and '12 (via arbitration) would be a great evaluation time to see if Marcum, who's only 26, is a viable option for the future. With Moyer likely dead soon and little immediate help from the minors, this could be exactly the avenue the Phillies explore. |
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Written by Mike Mariano
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Tuesday, 27 July 2010 07:59 |
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Brad Lidge has a specifc plan in mind when he takes the mound. Step one, get the first guy out. Step two, load the bases. Step three, work from there. And some how in 2010, that hasn't blown up in his face... yet. Hitters are 0-4 in four plate appearances when hitting against Lidge with the bases loaded. In any other scenario, hitters fare significantly better, if not significantly well against Lights Out Lidge. Just look at this mess of a table.
| Split | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SB | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | GDP | HBP | SH | SF | IBB |
| RISP |
40 |
33 |
11 |
10 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
6 |
8 |
.303 |
.410 |
.636 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
| --- |
42 |
36 |
1 |
7 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
13 |
.194 |
.310 |
.361 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Men On |
48 |
40 |
11 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
7 |
12 |
.300 |
.404 |
.575 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
| 1-- |
8 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
.286 |
.375 |
.286 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| -2- |
18 |
16 |
6 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
.375 |
.412 |
.813 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| --3 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
.500 |
.667 |
.750 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| 12- |
5 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
.250 |
.400 |
.250 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 1-3 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
.250 |
.250 |
1.000 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| -23 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
.000 |
.667 |
.000 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
| 123 |
4 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
.000 |
.000 |
.000 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| on 1st, lt 2 out |
8 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
.000 |
.125 |
.000 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| on 3rd, lt 2 out |
5 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
.333 |
.600 |
.333 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| on 3rd, 2 out |
12 |
10 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
.200 |
.333 |
.600 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
It's pretty simple, as long as Lidge can successfully load the bases without relinquishing the lead in the meantime, we're good. Otherwise, once a guy reaches base, shit's about to hit the fan. Look at the OBP and SLG percentages in that table. If you're up against Lidge with any runners on (without the bases being loaded of course) take a hack! Chances are you're going to do some damage. Also, you have to consider that the percentages for a runner on first and for runners on first and second are so low because everyone bunts in those scenarios to better your chances of getting a run. The table would look even worse than it does now because he's a closer and you're so often playing for only a run or two.
The longstanding stance in Philly has been "I don't care what it looks like, just get the job done" and I've never seen a pitcher take that to heart like Lidge does. In 2008, when Lidge was perfect, he epitomized that mantra. He pitched with men all over the base paths, but somehow some way escaped unscathed. In 2009, when Lidge couldn't get anyone out, he basically just blew saves at every opportunity. Now, in 2010 he's somewhere in between. Never a dull moment when Ol' 51 takes the mound.
So how 'bout them Phils? Lidge is getting saves, the offense is scratching runs, the team is winning games. Five in a row now and a four-game sweep to boot. Instead of pissing games away, they're finding ways to win, sometimes even getting lucky. Joe Blanton came out and pitched a hell of a game after a shaky first inning and the bullpen has been strong as of late. 4.5 games back and charging by the day, the Phillies are finally playing baseball.
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Written by Mike Mariano
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Monday, 26 July 2010 12:54 |
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It's no secret that Ryan Howard is the best hitter on the Phillies right now. Granted, the stats show that overall he isn't the best player on the squad at most times and was drastically overpaid, however you can't take away the cold-hard fact that when Ryan Howard get hot, he's one of the top players in the game. Once a year, the switch flips and Ryan Howard literally puts the team on his back for a month or two and carries the team. Right now, we're in the middle of one of those stretches.
So why then does Charlie Manuel have a carousel of players rotating in the third spot of the batting order? Chase Utley is out injured and the Jayson Werth/Raul Ibanez combo is struggling. Ryan Howard has hit fourth in every single game this season and for the large majority of his career. The reason I ask now is because moving him up that one spot will afford Ryan Howard of more at-bats over the duration of weeks, months, a season and he's the only guy hitting the ball. Make that, killing the ball. Doesn't having him at-bat more help the team?
Instead of putting Polanco or Ibanez in the role and creating an addition spot ahead of him in the lineup, let him bat third and take advantage of the fact that he's an extra base hit and RBI machine right now. How often have we scored lately without his direct contribution? So I'll take the potentially extra guy off base once or twice to try and get the big man an extra at-bat late in the game. Game on the line, two outs and two on in the ninth -- our three hitters coming up. Do we want Ryan Howard hitting? Or Placido Polanco? Obviously you can spin that fnial scenario however you'd like, but I don't like the possibility Polanco or Ibanez making the final out with Ryan Howard on deck, when we should be maximizing his at-bats within all realistic boundaries (for example, he should never bat lead-off)
Just a thinking point while you're watching the Phillies/Rockies today. It's 3-2 Phillies in the third as of now and Joe Blanton's got some settling in to do before I can get comfortable. You've got to love the bottom of the order stepping up and plating some runs though. Stay tuned, five straight is on the line today and Atlanta doesn't play. Let's gain that half game.
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