Written by Justin "Tito" Dellow
|
20 August 2010
Justin “Tito” Dellow is the Founder/Editor of the fantasy baseball website, Fantasy 40/40. Be sure to visit his site for great fantasy insight and the ever-important music, women, and pop culture thrown in to keep you in good spirits, even if your fantasy team is garbage.
I know, I know, it’s a loaded question. There’s not a single answer to solve the Mets’ problems and issues. No CliffsNotes or master blueprint they can buy to turn things around and back into NL East contention. As we’ve witnessed, the current General Manager Omar Minaya has little clue on how to fix this messy situation. So what are the Mets missing?
Let’s take a quick peek at some of Minaya’s work. Some players Minaya has signed who have not produced like they were paid include: Carlos Beltran, Oliver Perez, Luis Castillo and Alex Cora. Combined salary for 2011: $39.5 millon.
In addition, there are these players as well: Ty Wigginton 2-yr/$6 million, Felipe Lopez 1-yr/$1.2 million, Scott Podsednik 1-yr/$1.75 million, Jon Garland 1-yr/$4.7 million. All these players were available this off-season. Their combined salary for 2011: $10.65 million. Hands downs, better production in 2010 and at a quarter of the salary. They could have been key additions to a team in need of offense and some depth to a bench carrying three catchers! I’m just sayin’.
Think about it. Wigginton for Hessman. Lopez for Castillo. Podsednik for Francouer. Garland for Perez. So. Much. Better.
The Madoff conspiracy has brought a financial cloudiness to the Mets and their ownership. Management has reassured fans that spending was not affected and signing free agents will not be an issue. But can we really be sure?
In an article for the NY Times, owner Fred Wilpon “would say only that his Madoff-related investment losses were ‘significantly’ below $700 million.” Anyone losing that kind of money has to limit or watch their spending, right?
None of this is even what I am trying to get at.
The real purpose of this post was hatched after watching these 2010 Mets and comparing them to the 2006-‘07 team. There is something missing.
In 2010, it’s not the bullpen. The bullpen, frankly, has done an adequate, if not above-average job and has been pretty quiet this season – except for the Frankie Rodriguez incident. Feliciano, Takahashi, Parnell, Acosta, Dessens and Igarashi – misused perhaps, but could be better with some consistency from the starters. Overall, their ERA this is season is 3.67, good for tenth in MLB.
Starters? Not this season. With the disappearing acts of John Maine and the aforementioned Oliver Perez, the Mets have seen progress from young starters Mike Pelfrey and Jon Niese. Pelfrey had about as good a first half as anyone not named Ubaldo. Niese has added a cutter and matured into a solid number three starter. RA Dickey has been a savior and a breath of fresh air with his menacing knuckleball and fierce competitiveness. And Johan Santana, although not the Cy Young-type hurler he was back in Minnesota, has pitched like an ace should down the stretch-run, posting a 2.90 ERA on the season. In the off-season, they can sign a couple veterans to compete with some younger guys for the fifth spot. Overall, the pitching staff ranks fifth in the NL and seventh in MLB with a 3.65 ERA this season.
So that brings us to the offense. Anemic and inconsistent. These are the Mets’ rankings for total runs scored in a season:
7th with 834 in ’06
10th with 804 in ’07
8th with 799 in ‘08
25th with 671 in’09
24th with 486 so far this season
Notice anything?
As the current roster stands, the Mets have an above-average lineup on paper: (5) current of former All-Stars (surprisingly, Luis Castillo does have an All-Star appearance). They have arguably one of the best leadoff men in baseball. They also have high-priced bats in Wright, Beltran and Bay (Beltran and Bay have been non-existent).
But what’s missing? What’s different from that magical ’06-’07 season? Two words: Carlos. Delgado.
In 2006, the Mets’ slugging first baseman hit .265 with 38 HR with 114 RBI and 89 RUNS scored.
He batted cleanup and hit between switch-hitting Carlos Beltran and right-handed David Wright – carrying the team in stretches. This allowed Beltran to see fastball after fastball batting third, producing his best season as a Met - hitting .275 - 41 HR - 116 RBI - 127 R and 18 SB. Meanwhile, David Wright was allowed to bat fifth and share the weight and pressure of carrying a team.
Now, I am not saying Carlos Delgado should be brought back. Not at all. But, a power-hitting, left-handed, first baseman is what I am looking for. A homerun threat every time up. A guy who can carry a team in August and September.
The Mets have brought up Ike Davis, a nice player they hope will develop into a solid first baseman. Unfortunately, he’s not going to be enough. The answer? Prince Fielder.
Fielder would bring a calming presence and a consistent, everyday bat. Players to play first base for the Mets, other than Carlos Delgado, since 2006: Julio Franco, Shawn Green, Eli Marrero, Xavier Nady, Michael Tucker, Jose Valentin, Jeff Conine, Marlon Anderson, Damion Easley, Fernando Tatis, Nicj Evans, Andy Phillips, Daniel Murphy, Jeremy Reed, Mike Jacobs, Ike Davis, Alex Cora and Mike Hessman.
Prince Fielder is going to be a free agent after the 2010-2011 season. He is a Scott Boras client. He will make an absurd amount of money on his next contract. The Brewers have to move him. Could the Mets offer enough to obtain the hefty lefty?
Let’s try. I’d start the talks with Ike Davis. I am sorry Mets’ fans, I like him too, but when you have the chance to land a proven 40 HR guy, you roll the dice. With Milwaukee’s lack of pitching, one would expect a top-notch pitching prospect in the deal. Maybe Jenrry Mejia, Brad Holt or Jeurys Familia. All three are considered prospects and should warrant interest. Throw in one or two, middle-of-the-road minor leaguers with upside and a deal may be possible. This may seem too low, too much or just right, but either way, Fielder would still have to sign an extension. This would possibly limit the trade return to a lesser package, a la the Johan Santana.
Fielder, who will turn 27 next season, would provide that late inning threat that managers have to plan around, that pitchers fear. He has 50 HR potential and can anchor any lineup, batting cleanup and adding stability, possibly splitting up Wright and Beltran or Bay and Wright. As for the financials, those players mentioned above (Beltran, Perez, Castillo) and their $37 million will come off the books after next season, allowing for the trade and extension.
Some Mets’ fans will ask for Adrian Gonzalez – “he’s the better fielder, he’s the better hitter, he’s cheaper…” But his situaition is entirely different due to his ridiculously affordable contract and would require more in return. Plus, who knows if San Diego will actually trade the guy, they are contenders you know.
Furthermore, Fielder seems like the better fit. Remember the city they play in, the type of heat players take and the type of personalities that succeed in New York. He’s the heart of that Brewer team, although the media portrays Ryan Braun as their leader. Fielder, from all accounts, is a great clubhouse guy with enough desire and fire to win for an entire team, something the Mets are in desperate need of.
1. S Reyes SS
2. S Pagan RF
3. R Wright 3B
4. L Fielder 1B
5. S Beltran CF (for a year)
6. R Bay LF
7. L/R Thole/Santos C
8. R/L Tejada/SOMEONE NOT NAMED LUIS 2B
In summation, what are the Mets missing? Well, there’s more than one problem to address and more than one answer needed. One thing the Mets are lacking, however, is a bona fide clean up hitter. Someone that threatens to go long ball every time up - like Mark Teixiera in the Bronx or Ryan Howard in Philly or like Delgado did in 2006. Someone, who with one swing of the bat, can tie a game against the Brad Lidge. Against the Billy Wagner. Wright and Bay are good, but neither strikes fear like Prince does. And for once in my life, I want to see these lifeless Mets do something like THIS. Oh yeah, they can also bring back Bobby V, but we’ll save that for another day