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Leading off my new feature, of course, is Jose Reyes. Despite an injury plagued 2009, Reyes remains one of the brightest young talents in all of baseball. Only 26 years old, he is already a two time all-star, and has developed into an above average leadoff hitter. However, those who watch Reyes play day in and day out realize he has the potential for greatness. Will 2010 be the year he finally puts it all together? Or has Reyes already peaked? Time to look into the crystal ball:
By The Numbers:
| Source |
G |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
SB |
R |
| 2009 Season |
36 |
.279 |
.355 |
.395 |
7 |
2 |
2 |
11 |
18 |
| CHONE |
127 |
.296 |
.360 |
.468 |
31 |
9 |
13 |
46 |
94 |
| Bill James |
159 |
.285 |
.345 |
.439 |
35 |
14 |
14 |
57 |
113 |
| ZiPS |
109 |
.294 |
.363 |
.455 |
24 |
10 |
10 |
43 |
79 |
| Projection Avg |
132 |
.292 |
.356 |
.454 |
30 |
11 |
12 |
49 |
95 |
My projection
|
150 |
.300 |
.355 |
.460 |
28 |
17 |
12 |
65 |
110 |
My Two Cents: These projections seem pretty spot on. I think if Reyes stays healthy, he will have no problem returning to all-star form. I'm staying conservative in the power department because of Citi Field, but I also think Reyes will see a big increase in triples and steals. I was tempted to project a monster year for Reyes, but I'm staying fairly conservative for now. If he puts up the numbers I project, it will be considered a very good season. But like I said before, he has the potential for so much more. However, coming off a serious injury, its hard for me to believe 2010 will be that year.
2010 will be successful if: Reyes plays to the dimensions of Citi Field. At times he can get HR happy, and that usually leads to a prolonged slump. He needs to focus on hitting line drives, getting on base, and scoring runs. He also needs to be smarter on the bases. But most of all, he needs to be himself. Play the game like a kid and have fun. If he can do all of this, 2010 will be a big year.
2010 will be a failure if: The obvious answer is health. I've said it before and I'll say it again. Reyes is the Mets MVP. As he goes, the Mets go. So keeping him on the field is a must. As long as he plays, I don't see any reason why he wouldn't succeed.
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